Category: Dailies

Melky in the middle for Game 2?

Now, I know that the very fact the Atlanta Braves are batting Melky Cabrera in the fifth spot in the order is far from ideal and somewhat confusing to some, but I’m going to try and construct a theory as to why he may – surprisingly – be a classic case of making the best of what’s around.

Here is the Game 2 lineup, before we get started:

Infante, 3B
Heyward, RF
Lee, 1B
McCann, C
Cabrera, LF
Conrad, 2B
Gonzalez, SS
Ankiel, CF
Hanson, SP

Injuries have claimed the Braves starting third baseman twice this season. The absence of Chipper Jones and his hot corner fill-in Martin Prado have been felt in the field and in the lineup. Both men were manning the #3 spot in the order at the time of their respective injuries.

Melky_Spring_photo.jpg

When a team loses their number three hitter, not once but twice, and still makes it into the postseason, then they have already had to “make the best of what’s around” in every meaning of the phrase.

The Braves have the best manager in baseball at maximizing the impact of all 25 men on the roster. Often second guessed but seldom, if ever out-managed, Bobby Cox no doubt spent a fair amount of time pouring over his decision before eventually settling on Cabrera and not Matt Diaz, Nate McLouth or Eric Hinske in the Atlanta outfield for Game 2 of the NLDS.

One of the things that his players will always say is that Bobby has a way of making each man feel like he can be the difference maker on any given night. That could play a role here as well. 

I can’t explain why Cabrera is hitting fifth in this line-up. In a perfect world, he wouldn’t be.  What I can
tell you that the men batting behind him or those on the bench don’t really offer much in the form of alternatives.
 
Melky Cabrera: Batted 266-3-33 with a .365/.317 (SLG/OBP) vs. RHP this season (RHP Matt Cain starts Game 2). With runners on base, his average was a healthy .274 with 38 RBI in 215 AB’s. 

Brooks Conrad – For all his heroics, and they were many, Conrad only had 156 regular season at-bats, but you could certainly bat him ahead of Cabrera if you like. His situational stats with runners on base are strong (.274-5-30 in 69 AB’s), and include an excellent .378 AVG with 26 RBI’s in 45 AB’s with RISP.

Alex Gonzalez – Finished the season 2-for-his-last-35 and promptly went 0-for-3 vs. Lincecum in Game 1. He’s been ice cold, and that’s not exactly the kind of thing you can afford to just trot out there in fifth spot and hope it improves.

Rick Ankiel – Batted just .210-2-9 in and struck out 42 times in 119 AB’s with Atlanta. He has provided some pop in the past, but his stint with the Braves (47 games) has not been very productive.

Nate McLouth – He will be watching from the bench, but McLouth hit just .190-6-24 in a disastrous season and has seen his range in center field diminish. All six homers were hit against righties, but his .205/.368/.317 (AVG/SLG/OBP) vs. RHP this season does not scream middle of the order bat either.

Eric Hinske – In addition to losing a power threat pinch-hitter by starting him in left field, the AJC’s Dave O’Brien was nice enough to point out (via Twitter) that – “In his past 48 games, Hinske has hit .190 (16-for-84) w/ 3 homers, 12 RBI, 23 Ks, a .299 OBP and .333 SLG” 

A cursory look at the numbers Cabrera posted this season would tell you that he has not been especially impactful to this point, and has looked like little more than a fourth outfielder who was pressed into regular play with the rash of injuries and ineffectiveness that ravaged the Braves outfield.

One thing that Cabrera has that others (save Hinske) do not possess is that all-too-valuable postseason experience, so maybe that played some role in Bobby’s final decision.

Like I said before this whole entry really got going, having to bat Cabrera fifth in a playoff game was never part of the Braves master plan, but they’re way beyond that now. The Braves need a productive showing collectively from the offense in order to even the NLDS at a game apiece and make a run deep into October.

NLDS Game 1: Lincecum gives Giants 1-0 win

Conrad_Posey_Tag.jpg

The Recap:
 
Atlanta’s return to the postseason following a four-year absence hit a speed bump in the person of Giants ace Tim Lincecum.

San Francisco’s diminutive flame-thrower sliced and diced the Braves lineup to the tune of 14 strikeouts while tossing a two-hit complete game shut-out in Game 1 of the National League Division Series on Thursday.

Pitching dominated the night. Lincecum’s mastery was met blow-for-blow by Braves starter Derek Lowe in the early going, before a blown call and a misplayed ball gave the Giants the only run they would need to grab the series opening victory.

Scoreless in the bottom of the fourth, Cody Ross gave the Giants a 1-0 lead with a single that plated catcher Buster Posey. A controversial stolen base call on the back end of what appeared to be a strike-em-out, throw-em-out double play allowed the Giants to continue their quest to supply some run support for Lincecum (1-0).

Posey had opened the inning with a single and was in motion when a strikeout was recorded at the expense of Pat Burrell. Second base umpire Paul Emmel called Posey safe, though replays showed Braves second baseman Brooks Conrad tagged Posey prior to his foot reaching the bag.

Following a strikeout of Juan Uribe, Atlanta opted to walk Pablo Sandoval intentionally and go after the right-hand hitting Ross. That move backfired when Ross lined a run-scoring single under the outstretched glove of third baseman Omar Infante.

Lowe (0-1) lasted 5 1/3 innings before being lifted in favor of lefty Jonny Venters in the sixth. The veteran right-hander surrendered a run on four hits, walked four and struck out six in taking the loss.

Though Infante struck for a game-opening double, it would not prove to be a harbinger of things to come. Instead, Lincecum harnessed the adrenaline and struck out Brian McCann and Derrek Lee to close the inning and begin his night of dominance.

Only a fourth inning walk to Jayson Heyward allowed the Braves to put a runner aboard between the first and seventh innings, when Brian McCann laced a one-out double in the seventh inning.

Those 14 strikeouts for Lincecum established a new single-game postseason record for a Giants pitcher, with 12 of them of the swinging variety. Infante was the only Braves hitter who was not punched out at least once by the Giants starter, who was making his postseason debut.

Lincecum’s performance was the story of the night, but five Atlanta pitchers combined to limit the San Fransisco offense to just five hits. Four Braves relievers held the Giants to just one hit over the final 2 2/3 innings.

The Breakdown:
 
The replays and the photos are worth a thousand words, but the Braves have no choice but to put a frustrating series opening loss behind them and focus on winning Game 2. In order to do that, Atlanta will look for a strong start from right-hander Tommy Hanson (10-11, 3.33) as he locks horns with Giants righty Matt Cain (13-11, 3.14).

Lincecum’s bigtime start helps to somewhat mask the fact that the Giants offense had its share of struggles in Game 1 as well. The Braves seemingly could not find the answers to Lincecum, who routinely got hitters to chase two-strike pitches well out of the zone. Atlanta was aggressive offensively, which they will need to continue on Friday against Cain. The difference and/or adjustments will likely come in the form of being more selective at the plate when behind in the count.

The blown call on Posey’s fourth inning steal of second base only furthers the public outcry for some kind of replay to be instituted. Of course, that won’t help the Braves or any of the other teams that may have felt slighted by a call on Thursday. It is a somewhat unfortunate trend to see popping up with regularity, especially given the fact that postseason games are under a higher degree of scrutiny. The human error defense ain’t what it used to be.

Hanson will make the first postseason start of his career, and he will be hoping to get more run support than he received throughout the year. Atlanta averaged just 3.0 RPG in Hanson’s final 18 starts of the regular season, and he won just three times after July 1.

Cain found himself in a similar situation in the first half. Despite a solid 3.34 ERA over his first 18 starts, Cain’s record sat at 6-8 and it appeared he may be in for another season in which his record was not indicative of the way he was pitching. Cain turned it on with a 2.91 ERA and a 7-3 record over his final 15 starts, walking just just 19 men in 102 innings over that stretch.

San Diego homered three times and battered Cain for six earned runs in his last start of the regular season. If Hanson can shed any ill-effects caused from fouling a ball off his eye in batting practice on Thursday and continue his excellent work from the final three starting assignments of the year (1 ER in 18.2 IP) then the Braves could have a good chance of heading back to Atlanta with the series tied at a game apiece.

The Atlanta offense will have to find a way to break out and provide those runs. That was something was increasingly hard to do in September/October as the team averaged just 3.5 RPG in over 30 games to close the season.

Prediction:
Braves over Giants, 4-2

Here we go again…

Ankiel_Farnsworth_470_264.jpgGreetings out there in Braves Nation. It has been quite some time since last I wrote. By the looks of it, somebody was paying attention when I mused giving the sometimes maligned and occasionally productive Willy Taveras a job in the organization. I knew if I left that entry up long enough, it would elicit a response.

Perhaps, we’d be better suited taking a look at the recent Trade Deadline movement.

The Braves have roared back to the top of the National League East this year. There was that little speed bump early, but now the team is primed to make a run in October for the first time since 2005.

While much has changed since that last playoff appearance, some things are eerily the same. Remember when Atlanta was making deadline deals that season? I do.

It’s funny how the Braves were busy trying to bolster their bullpen some five years later and were thinking along those same lines. Kyle Farnsworth has been productive for the Royals this season. His power arm won’t be expected to close games this time around, but should fit in nicely with the current mix to bridge the gap to Billy Wagner.

Atlanta also added outfielder Rick Ankiel in that trade with Kansas City. The jury is still out on what exactly Ankiel can bring over the course of a full season, but the Braves will seek to get every thing they can out of him in 2010.

I wouldn’t go as far as to say that the price was particularly steep, but what I did find somewhat curious in the deal was the inclusion of left-handed reliever Tim Collins. Atlanta acquired Collins from the Toronto Blue Jays as part of the Yunel Escobar trade, but his stay in the organization proved to be brief.

Collins, just 5-foot-7, has very impressive strikeout numbers that come thanks to a wicked curveball. While he was named the Blue Jays Organizational Pitcher of the Year by MLB.com following last season, there are some who believe his eventual role in the majors would likely be that of lefty specialist.

After watching him pitch in the Florida State League last year, I have to say that there is just something special about the little lefty. His path to the Big Leagues should only improve with a move to the Royals organization. Seeing as Wagner was slight of stature and big on stuff, Collins could be a success story in the same vein down the road.

Parting ways with both Gregor Blanco and Jesse Chavez shouldn’t impact the Braves whatsoever. If anything, adding a pair of more experienced players simply gives Bobby Cox more pieces to work with in his final campaign at the helm for the Braves. Depth is key.

QUICK HITS: Second baseman Martin Prado will try to avoid the disabled list after suffering a fractured pinky while sliding into home during the 10th inning of Friday’s victory over the Reds. Atlanta can ill afford to lose the NL hits leader (138) and the team leader in runs scored (75). A decision will likely be made on Monday as to whether or not he will land on the 15-day DL… Hand injuries have been a common theme this season, but rookie standout Jason Heyward has bounced back nicely from the ailing left thumb that slowed him down prior to the All-Star Break. The right fielder is hitting .349/.453/.460 in 16 games since the break. He even threw in a steal of home last week against Washington to remind everyone just how impressive the soon-to-be 21-year-old truly is. 

Till next time,

G-Mc

Why not take a flyer on Willy Taveras?

While bigger names remain on the free agent market, a recent development may have given the Atlanta Braves something to consider for their outfield mix as Spring Training approaches. Signing Willy Taveras could supply the Braves with some valuable speed for an extremely low price.

Taveras.jpgTaveras had a rather bizarre February 1, being dealt by the Cincinnati Reds to the Oakland Athletics only to find himself designated for assignment later that day. Unwilling to accept an assignment to the minor leagues, it left the A’s with no choice but to release him on Tuesday.

Oakland will pay the bulk of the $4 million Taveras is owed this season. Any team that signs Taveras, 28, would have to pay only the league minimum to secure his services.

Despite leading the National League with 68 stolen bases as a member of the Colorado Rockies in 2008, Taveras was non-tendered that winter in a cost-cutting move.

He would not stay unemployed for long as the Reds signed Taveras to a two-year $6.5 million deal last winter. A lackluster 2009 campaign, including a career-low .240 batting average to go along with an ugly .275 on base percentage, forced the Reds to take another look at their outfield options and ultimately ship Taveras to Oakland.

His once promising career could officially be termed as derailed, but a better phrasing may be to call it at a crossroads. Taveras has been on two World Series series teams. First, finishing second in the N.L. Rookie of the Year voting in 2005 as a member of the pennant winning Houston Astros, before hitting a career-high .320 as a member of the N.L. champion Colorado Rockies in 2007.

Pro’s and Con’s….

I’ll be the first to say that signing Taveras would come with its fair share of if’s, but adding a relatively young and low-priced player with postseason experience is an option worth exploring. It would also give the club another reason not to rush heralded prospect Jason Heyward this Spring if more minor league seasoning would be in his and the club’s best interest.

If Taveras were to rebound to his 2007 standards, he would provide a short-term solution who brings a completely different look to the cast of Braves outfielders. Taveras would obviously pose no threat to the impending arrival of Heyward, instead serving along with Melky Cabrera and Matt Diaz to flank center fielder Nate McLouth until which time Heyward gets the call. Though primarily a center fielder himself, Taveras would see more time in left while being available to spell McLouth if needed.

No one is accusing Taveras of being an impact player, but if he can reach some of his past productivity it would give the Braves a chance to mix and match their lineup in a number of favorable ways. And that would make an impact.

Possible line-up options could include allowing McLouth to move down a spot in the order to take advantage of his run-producing power. Yunel Escobar saw time in both the 5th and 6th spots in the lineup last season and could benefit from a permanent move to the middle of the batting order.

Among the offensive weaknesses of Taveras, and there are a few, is the unusual trait of being a right-handed hitter who performs better against right-handed pitching. His career marks see him at .262 against lefties and .280 against righties, while his ’09 stats had him at just .219 against southpaws and .247 against right-handers. The presence of Diaz (.347 career and .412 last season against lefties) would allow the Braves to avoid that unfavorable match-up.

Taveras offers very little in the form of extra-base hits. His slugging percentage dropped to a career-worst .285 last season as 83 of his 97 hits were singles. This is nothing new for Taveras, who lead the NL with 152 singles among his 172 hits during his rookie season of 2005. A portion of this can be overlooked because Taveras is a base stealing threat (194 in 236 career attempts).

As a rule, Taveras typically hits his way aboard. Walks have always been at a premium and that contributes to his .321 lifetime on base percentage. He drew just 18 free passes in 102 games last season and owns just 134 in his five full seasons of Major League action.

His fielding has also been suspect at times. In 2008, Taveras compiled a .976 fielding percentage – the worst among all center fielders in baseball. But, again, he would likely not see much time in center field with McLouth there.

On a side note…

Most, if not all, of the attention the Braves are getting in the rumor mill is revolving around the somewhat quizzical unemployment of Johnny Damon. We have been repeatedly reminded that the only way that Damon is going to be suiting up with a tomahawk across his chest in 2010 will be a thanks to a serious drop in asking price.

With agent Scott Boras trying to recoup the cash that was lost when he and Damon rebuffed the Yankees’ offer(s), there is likely to be another destination (I’d say in the American League) that will bend their financial plans just enough to accommodate the outfielder for at least one season. However, there is little doubt that Damon will be taking a hefty pay cut no matter where he lands.

Pay cut and Scott Boras are seldom used in the same sentence. Here’s to firsts!

Till next time,

G-Mc

Soriano accepts, Gonzalez declines arbitration

Soriano.jpgThe opening day of Winter Meetings activity is winding down, with only one tangible Braves headline.

After weighing his options on the free agent market, reliever Rafael Soriano has chosen to accept the club’s offer of salary arbitration. Meanwhile, Mike Gonzalez decided to decline the Braves offer and test the open market.

I wouldn’t categorize Soriano’s return as “shocking,” but it does set up some interesting story lines to follow. His career year in 2009 will no doubt make the righty desirable to clubs who are searching for a closer. Keep in mind that Soriano will now have to approve any trade that occurs before June 15.

It’s not to say that will keep possible suitors from pursuing Soriano, who registered a career-best 27 saves and averaged over 12 K/9 in a career-high 77 appearances. Rumors linked the Houston Astros as having interest. That would be one possible destination, based on the fact that Houston’s incumbent closer, Jose Valverde, declined their arbitration offer to become a free agent.

Mark Bowman of MLB.com spoke with Braves GM Frank Wren earlier in the day, outlining that any decision to return by either Soriano or Gonzalez would not affect the plans that are in place for Billy Wagner and Takashi Saito to anchor the bullpen and serve in the late innings.

Looking at the dollars involved with Soriano, most project him to command a raise that would be somewhere in the $6.5 million to $8 million range through his arbitration hearing. Gonzalez will fetch the Braves compensatory picks when and if he signs elsewhere. Bowman also points out that Wren is committed to meeting the club’s needs regardless of either Soriano’s or Gonzalez’s decision to accept arbitration.

Wren is confident he can move Soriano. Here’s a quote from Bowman’s entry:

“We wouldn’t worry about that holding us back,” Wren said. “We’re going
to go ahead and put our club together. The one thing about good
players is that when you have good players, you can trade them.”

Those needs, as we well know, involve bringing in a first baseman and at least one outfielder, both of whom will be looked upon to provide power and stable run production. Whether it be via the trade or a free agent signing, Wren will continue to seek out the right pieces.

Rumors, rumors and still more rumors…

Most of the trade chatter has the Braves looking to deal Derek Lowe rather than Javier Vazquez. Nothing probative has surfaced on that front as of yet. Lowe provides the most payroll flexibility in a deal, assuming the Braves don’t have have to eat a large chunk of the $45 million remaining over the next three seasons.

It was not a hotbed of talks linked to the Braves and their search for bats. Passing pieces from various sources linked Atlanta’s interest in free agent outfielder Marlon Byrd and perhaps Georgia native Mike Cameron. Included in the linkage, the AJC’s Dave O’Brien took a look at the possible targets at which the Braves could be taking aim.

Good work as always from our friends over at MLBTradeRumors.com. If you want to follow the blow-by-blow of all the daily craziness of the Winter Meetings, there is no better place.

Perhaps tomorrow will offer a big bang on the Braves front. Follow me on Twitter @grantmcauley for sporadic updates on nothing in particular.

Till next time,

G-Mc

Braves stay busy, ink reliever Saito

Atlanta Braves general manager Frank Wren has wasted little time building a formidable bullpen for 2010. Just one day after signing closer Billy Wagner to a one-year deal, the Braves reached terms for a one-year pact with righty reliever Takashi Saito on Thursday.

The deal carries a guaranteed $3.2 million base salary, while Saito could earn and additional $2.3 million in performance based incentives. The Braves introduced Saito to the media on Thursday afternoon at a press conference at Turner Field.

Saito.jpg“I think we’re very fortunate to get two outstanding relief pitchers in two days, and we haven’t even been to the winter meetings yet,” said Braves manager Bobby Cox.

Pitching for Boston last season, Saito went 3-3 with a pair of saves in 56 outings, striking out 52 and turning in a 2.43 ERA in 55 2/3 innings of work. Opponents hit just .244 against him.

Saito, 39, enjoyed success in the National League with the Los Angeles Dodgers over the first three years of his Major League career beginning in 2006. He was named to the NL All-Star team in 2007, when he went 2-1 with a 1.40 ERA and 39 saves for the Dodgers.

Over his four-year career, Saito is 15-10 with 83 saves and a a 2.05 ERA in 236 career appearances. The hard-thrower has struck out 297 men over 245 1/3 innings and limited his opponents to a .196 batting average against.

A sprained elbow ligament forced Saito to spend two months on the disabled list in 2008, paving the way for Jonathan Broxton to assume closer’s duties for the Dodgers. The Braves will use Saito to spell Wagner on some nights, giving the club the kind of options that Mike Gonzalez and Rafael Soriano offered last year.

Saito and Wagner will join holdovers Peter Moylan, Eric O’Flaherty and Kris Medlen in the Atlanta bullpen next season. While more relievers will be in camp, it would appear that the major moves in the pen have been made.

Perhaps the most interesting point of Thursday’s press conference came when Cox hinted that a major move that would bolster the Braves offense could be coming sooner than later. Wren declined to comment, saying only, “You never know.”

More to come,

G-Mc

Sources: Braves sign Billy Wagner

With the Winter Meetings still days away, the Atlanta Braves appear poised to mark one big item off their holiday shopping list. Fox Sports’ Ken Rosenthal is reporting that the Braves will sign lefty closer Billy Wagner, “according to major league sources.”

billy_wagner.jpgWagner must now pass a physical before the deal becomes official. This will mark the first marquee closer the Braves have boasted since John Smoltz‘s days at the end of the pen.

According to Rosenthal’s report, the one-year deal is believed to be worth $7 million and includes a $6.5 million vesting option for a second season that would kick in if Wagner closes 50 games in 2010.

Wagner, 38, is coming off Tommy John Surgery in 2008 that limited him to just 17 appearances between the New York Mets and Boston Red Sox last season. The lefty showed his power arm to be intact, racking up 26 strikeouts in 15 2/3 innings of work to go along with a 1.72 ERA in 17 outings. Opponents hit just .154 against the six-time All-Star last season.

During his 15-year career, spent with Houston, Philadelphia, New York and Boston, Wagner has accumulated 385 saves and stands to become just the fifth hurler in MLB history to surpass the 400 save plateau with a healthy 2010 campaign. Only John Franco (424) has more saves all-time by a southpaw pitcher.

Atlanta will give Boston a supplemental first round draft pick for signing Wagner, who as a Type-A free-agent was offered arbitration by the Red Sox prior to Tuesday’s deadline.

The Braves have a very good chance of recouping that draft pick loss, however, as both Rafael Soriano and Mike Gonzalez (who were also offered arbitration Tuesday) qualify as Type-A FA’s and would fetch first rounders back for Atlanta if they sign elsewhere.

This is a potential signing that I believed the Braves could pursue and had highlighted it prominently in my upcoming Winter Meetings Primer entry. Of course, that piece had yet to hit the Blogosphere before news of this signing broke, but rest assured it will still make an appearance. I just won’t be able to claim any psychic connection this time around.

More to come as always,

G-Mc

Let the Hot Stove season begin…

With the New York Yankees crowned as baseball’s champion for the 27th
time, it marks the end of the 2009 campaign. Some clubs saw their
postseason aspirations dashed long ago and their attention turned to
the building process by midsummer, but now all 30 clubs will be on the
market to add to the mix for next year and beyond.

The activity
will have its usual highs and lows, but as always there will be plenty
to talk about. Special focus here will be given to the National League
of course, where the Atlanta Braves will look to build on a solid ’09
season by finding the missing pieces to the puzzle.

There is
little doubt in my mind that this past winter and regular season will
be one that represents a turning point for the franchise. John Smoltz,Tom Glavine and Jeff Francoeur were among the departed, while Derek Lowe, Javier Vazquez and Tommy Hanson helped bolster the club’s playoff chances in their first season in Atlanta.

General Manager Frank Wren
has a working list of Atlanta’s needs, one that he will compare when
working the phones and meeting with other team executives as well as
when scouring the free agent market.

First moves of the winter…

As
free agents officially file and the offseason begins, the Braves have
already taken a couple of steps toward the upcoming season. And it all
starts where else, but in the pitching department.

tim_hudson.jpgThe Braves are expected to announce a three-year contract extension with veteran right-hander Tim Hudson at some point in the near future.

Mark Bowman of MLB.com reported that Hudson has passed his physical in his most recent blog entry (which you can read here),
paving the way for deal to be made official. Contract terms are
expected to be somewhere in the neighborhood of 3-years and $27
million.

Hudson, 34, bounced back from Tommy John surgery to make seven starts
for the Braves in September and October, going 2-1 with a 3.61 ERA in
42 1/3 innings of work. Following the return of Hudson, righty Kenshin Kawakami was bumped from the rotation to the bullpen.

Extending
Hudson adds to the team’s core strength, which is once again starting
pitching. It also adds the flexibility of dangling a top-end starter on
the trade market, where the Braves could find a possible match that
would bring the team a much needed corner outfield power bat.

Atlanta also signed recently released righty reliever Scott Proctor,
formerly of the Florida Marlins, to a minor league deal with an
invitation to spring training that will allow him to compete for a
bullpen job. Proctor, 32, was placed on the disabled list in spring
training and was sidelined with Tommy John surgery in May.

Originally
a 5th round selection by the Los Angeles Dodgers in the 1998 amatuer
draft, Proctor was dealt to the New York Yankees along with Bubba Crosby in exchange for Robin Ventura
on July 31, 2003. He found his way back to the Dodgers exactly four
years to the day later, heading to L.A. as former Brave Wilson Betemit was shipped to the Bronx in 2007.

The
righty proved to be very durable in the 2006 and 2007 seasons, hurling
83 games in each campaign with ERA’s of 3.52 and 3.65 respectively. Arm
troubles began while with the Dodgers in 2008 and culminated with arm
surgery last season.

Hot Stove Coverage
 
Developing
stories and analysis will continue all winter, with the Braves
offseason shopping list coming soon. In the meantime, be sure to check
out MLBTradeRumors.com for all the latest news and rumors from all over baseball.

Till next time,

G-Mc
 

World Series Game 5: Utley slugs Phillies past Yanks

Thumbnail image for World Series.jpgThe Philadelphia Phillies pounded their way to an 8-6 victory in Game 5, pushing the World Series back to New York and postponing any celebration plans the New York Yankees may have had on Monday.

Slugging second baseman Chase Utley slugged his way into the record books with his second multi-home run game of the World Series, belting two homers and driving in four runs.

Utley’s big night gave him a share of two postseason records. His five homers in this series ties Reggie Jackson for the most in a single World Series, while Utley’s seven career Fall Classic home runs are the most by any second baseman in baseball history.

Outside of Utley, the Phillies had Cliff Lee working on the hill as they stared elimination in the face and live to fight another day. Lee was not as sharp as his Game 1 masterpiece, but with eight runs of support he didn’t have to be.

The lefty was pitching well into the eighth inning before a Yankee rally forced his exit. His final line was five earned runs on seven hits and three walks with three strikeouts over seven innings. Three of the runs scored in that eighth frame when the first three batters reached against Lee.

Raul Ibanez enjoyed a 2-for-4 night with a homer and two RBI’s in the winning effort. While much of the attention had been on Ryan Howard‘s struggles, Ibanez had struck out seven times in his prior 12 at-bats, so a good night for the left fielder was a welcome sign for the Philadelphia offense.

Ryan_Howard_K.jpgSpeaking of Howard, Game 5 was yet another tough night in this series for the Phillies clean-up hitter. His futility at the plate reached record proportions when he was punched out twice on Monday to tie a World Series record with 12 strikeouts thus far in the series.

The bad news for Howard, if you want to call it that, is that he will set a record with his next strikeout, but the Yankees should be aware there is a flip side to that coin. It only takes one swing of the bat with a couple men on base for Howard to change the game. Look for the Yankees to continue feeding Howard the steady diet of breaking pitches he has seen throughout this World Series.

Howard has some elite company though, as both first basemen have struggled. Mark Teixeira is just 2-for-19, but has scored four runs, homered and knocked in two others while striking out seven times. Those are hardly big time numbers, but when compared to Howard’s 3-for-19 with two runs scored, one RBI and 12 punch-outs… well, you get the picture. It’s safe to say that each team would love to see their first baseman break out in a big way in Game 6.

Looking Ahead to Game 6:

The series shifts back to New York and a match-up of veteran hurlers will be on tap in the Bronx. All-time postseason wins leader Andy Pettitte will get the ball on three days rest against Pedro Martinez of the Phillies. It is truly a fascinating duel in the making. While Pettitte needs no postseason introduction, Pedro is still searching for a big game start that could help define his legacy in the playoffs.

As of now, most people remember October 16, 2003. Of course, that is the well documented and ill-fated night on which Boston manager Grady Little left Martinez in with a 5-3 lead with the Red Sox just five outs away from the World Series. The Yankees had other ideas.

Pedro departs SM.jpgThis is a different Pedro Martinez. His high-90s fastball has long since vanished. This is a Pedro who relies on his wits, guile and a slew of off-speed pitches to get the job done. This is a Pedro who has to outthink hitters rather than blowing them away. He departed his first series start with a grin on his face, but Game 6 has much more on the line. I’d count on seeing a focused Pedro.

Looking at each hurler’s initial start in this series, Pedro had the better of the two, but it was Pettitte who put one in the win column. Martinez went six innings and allowed three runs on six hits while walking two and striking out eight in his Game 2 starting assignment. Pettitte spotted the Phillies three early runs in Game 3, but settled down to go six innings and allow four total runs on five hits and three walks to go along with seven strikeouts.

The Yankees will get to insert a red-hot Hideki Matsui back into the line-up as the designated hitter is back in play. It would stand to reason that the Phillies will start the right hand hitting Ben Francisco instead of Matt Stairs against the lefty Pettitte. That would give the edge in the DH department, at least on paper, to the Yankees. Mutsui is 5-for-9 with two homers, while Francisco is hitless in four World Series at-bats.

Though there are quite a few stars lining up, World Series games have a way of finding unsung heroes, so there is no guarantee that the Yankees will be able to ice the Phillies in Game 6. If Philadelphia is able to push a Game 7, then all the momentum shifts back to the defending champions. At that point, the Phillies have nothing to lose, the Yankees will have squandered a 3-1 series lead and, more than ever, the pressure to win will be squarely on hte shoulders of Joe Girardi’s club. Gotta love the drama, but winning Game 6 is all either team is thinking about as of now.

If history repeats itself, then we are in for a close game as far as the starting pitchers are concerned. However, the bullpens have had a way of making things interesting for both sides. Again, a Phillies victory would take the wind out of the Yankees sails and even things up for an exciting seventh contest. That makes Game 6 must-see TV.

Prediction: Yankees win 5-3 to take their 27th World Series Championship

Till next time,

G-Mc